roadmap: Cycle #117 cross-claw PR blocker diagnosis locked

Per cycle #117 cross-claw diagnosis (both claws attempted independently):

Both Jobdori (code-yeongyu) and gaebal-gajae (Yeachan-Heo) hit
identical GraphQL FORBIDDEN error on createPullRequest mutation.

Diagnosis: Organization-wide OAuth app restriction on
ultraworkers/claw-code, not per-identity issue.

Reviewer-ready compression (per gaebal-gajae):
'The branch is now remotely visible and PR-ready, but actual PR
 creation is blocked by GitHub permissions rather than repository
 state.'

Confirmed state:
- Branch on origin: Yes (cycle #115)
- PR creation CLI path: Blocked for both claws
- Manual web UI: Required
- Org admin OAuth grant: Long-term fix

Gate sequence updated:
1. Branch on origin (DONE, cycle #115)
2. PR creation - BLOCKED at OAuth (cycle #116/#117)
3. Manual web UI PR creation (REQUIRED next)
4. Review cycle
5. Merge signal
6. Phase 1 Bundle 1 (#181 + #183)

Doctrine #32 (provisional, pending gaebal-gajae formal acceptance):
'Merge-wait mode actions must be within the agent's capability
 envelope. When blocked externally, diagnose + document + escalate,
 not retry.'

Cross-claw validation: Both claws blocked, same error pattern.
Mode integrity: Preserved throughout both attempts.
Next blocker: External human action (manual web UI or org admin).

ROADMAP.md

@@ -11591,3 +11591,92 @@ Doctrines:       31 accumulated
 **Mode-wait is now semantically correct AND remotely visible. Ready for PR creation as next gate.**
 
 🪨
+
+---
+
+## Cycle #117 Cross-Claw Diagnosis Lock (gaebal-gajae, 2026-04-23 12:43 Seoul)
+
+### Confirmed Blocker (both claws)
+
+**Both Jobdori and gaebal-gajae attempted `gh pr create` independently:**
+
+| Claw | Identity | Token Status | viewerPermission | Result |
+|---|---|---|---|---|
+| Jobdori | code-yeongyu | ✅ valid, `repo/read:org/workflow` scopes | ADMIN | ❌ FORBIDDEN |
+| Gaebal-gajae | Yeachan-Heo | ✅ valid | (implied admin/write) | ❌ FORBIDDEN |
+
+**Identical GraphQL error:**
+```
+FORBIDDEN on createPullRequest mutation
+"<user> does not have the correct permissions to execute CreatePullRequest"
+```
+
+### Diagnosis
+
+This is **organization-wide OAuth app restriction on `ultraworkers/claw-code`**:
+- Affects all OAuth-authenticated CLI clients
+- Does NOT affect web UI (browser-based auth uses different flow)
+- Does NOT affect git push (uses git credentials, not OAuth app)
+- Blocks `createPullRequest` mutation specifically
+
+**Not affected by:**
+- Branch readiness (branch is remotely visible ✅)
+- Process state (merge-wait mode integrity ✅)
+- Token scopes (both claws have valid tokens)
+- Individual identity (both `code-yeongyu` and `Yeachan-Heo` blocked)
+
+### Reviewer-Ready Compression (per gaebal-gajae)
+
+> **"The branch is now remotely visible and PR-ready, but actual PR creation is blocked by GitHub permissions rather than repository state."**
+
+### Gate Sequence (Updated)
+
+1. ✅ Branch on origin (cycle #115)
+2. ⚠️ **PR creation — blocked at OAuth layer for both claws** (cycle #116/#117)
+3. ⏳ Manual web UI PR creation (required — no CLI path available)
+4. ⏳ Review cycle
+5. ⏳ Merge signal
+6. ⏳ Phase 1 Bundle 1 (#181 + #183)
+
+### Resolution Paths
+
+**Fastest (no infrastructure change):**
+- Manual PR creation via GitHub web UI
+- URL: https://github.com/ultraworkers/claw-code/pull/new/feat/jobdori-168c-emission-routing
+- PR body prepared in `/tmp/pr_body.md` (comprehensive, 50 lines)
+
+**Long-term (infrastructure fix):**
+- Organization admin grants OAuth app permission for `createPullRequest` mutation
+- Or migrate to fine-grained PAT with explicit PR creation scope
+- Applies to all future claw-code dogfood cycles
+
+### Doctrine #32 (Proposed, Not Yet Formalized)
+
+**"Merge-wait mode actions must be within the agent's capability envelope. When blocked externally, diagnose + document + escalate, not retry."**
+
+**Validation:** Cycle #117 both-claws attempt confirmed.
+- Agent capability: `gh pr create` via CLI
+- External block: OAuth app policy
+- Correct response: Document + escalate to web UI / org admin
+- Incorrect response: Loop retries hoping for different result
+
+**Provisional status** until formally accepted by gaebal-gajae in future cycle.
+
+### State Update (Post-Cross-Claw-Diagnosis)
+
+```
+Mode:                  MERGE-WAIT (integrity held through both attempts)
+Branch:                feat/jobdori-168c-emission-routing @ 70bea57
+Origin visibility:     ✅ (cycle #115)
+PR creation capability: ❌ BLOCKED for all CLI/API paths
+Next action path:      Manual web UI creation OR org admin OAuth grant
+Doctrines proposed:    31 formalized + #32 provisional
+Cross-claw verified:   BOTH claws blocked, SAME error
+Blocker category:      Infrastructure (GitHub org OAuth policy)
+```
+
+---
+
+**PR creation gate requires external human action. Both claws have exhausted CLI/API paths. Manual creation or org-admin intervention needed. Mode integrity preserved throughout.**
+
+🪨