2026-05-25 14:02:05 -04:00

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---
name: ito-market-intelligence
description: Research prediction-market events, venues, underliers, liquidity, and news context for Itô basket workflows. Use for read-only market intelligence, API-gated Itô exploration, and source-grounded prediction-market briefings without investment advice or live trading.
origin: ECC
---
# Itô Market Intelligence
Use this skill when a user wants prediction-market context, event discovery,
venue comparison, basket theme exploration, or an Itô API-backed market brief.
This is a public teaser skill. It can work with public sources by default. Any
Itô-backed data call requires explicit API access through `ITO_API_KEY`.
## Guardrails
- Do not provide investment, legal, tax, or trading advice.
- Do not place, cancel, route, or simulate live orders.
- Do not infer the user's financial situation unless they provide it.
- Treat Polymarket, Kalshi, Itô, X, Exa, GitHub, and web data as source inputs,
not as truth by themselves.
- Separate facts, market-implied signals, and your interpretation.
## Workflow
1. Clarify the market theme, venue, geography, and time horizon.
2. Gather public market data from venue docs/APIs or source-grounded research.
3. If `ITO_API_KEY` is present and the user explicitly asks for Itô data, call
only read endpoints and state that access is gated.
4. Normalize event, underlier, liquidity, fee, resolution, and data-latency
differences across venues.
5. Produce a decision brief:
- market/event summary
- available venues and underliers
- liquidity and data-quality caveats
- relevant news/source context
- open questions before any user action
## Useful Skill Chains
- Use `deep-research` or `exa-search` for source discovery.
- Use `x-api` for public social signal discovery when X access is configured.
- Use `market-research` for market sizing, competitors, or business use cases.
- Use `prediction-market-risk-review` before any workflow touches user capital,
portfolio data, or execution-capable credentials.
## Output Contract
Default to a compact brief with source links and a clear caveat:
```text
This is market intelligence, not investment or trading advice.
```
If access is missing, say:
```text
Itô live basket/API data requires gated access. Request an ITO_API_KEY before
using Itô-backed reads.
```