everything-claude-code/docs/releases/2.0.0-rc.1/ito-prediction-market-skill-pack.md
2026-05-25 14:02:05 -04:00

3.0 KiB

Itô Prediction-Market Skill Pack

This rc.1 note records a public teaser skill pack that connects ECC's skill distribution loop with Itô prediction-market workflows while keeping the two businesses separate.

ECC remains the open agent-harness substrate and ECC Tools remains the hosted GitHub App / Pro surface. Itô remains a separate prediction-market basket business. The link is distribution: ECC can ship reusable skills that make agents better at researching, comparing, explaining, and planning around prediction-market baskets. Live Itô API access stays gated.

Included Skills

Skill Use
ito-market-intelligence Source-grounded event, underlier, venue, liquidity, and news context
ito-basket-compare Compare baskets against a knowledge base, portfolio notes, financial context, or thesis
ito-trade-planner Build a manual, non-advisory worksheet for market and venue review
ito-data-atlas-agent Design background research/drafting agents with human edit points
prediction-market-oracle-research Treat prediction markets as data/oracle inputs for agents and decision intelligence
prediction-market-risk-review Review advice, venue, security, privacy, and execution boundaries

Access Model

The public skills work without Itô credentials for research and planning. Any Itô-backed call requires explicit gated access:

export ITO_API_KEY=...

Do not include live keys, account data, positions, private strategy, or venue credentials in public docs, prompts, commits, slide decks, or support tickets.

Suggested public CTA:

The Itô skill pack works as public research/planning workflows today. DM or request access for the Itô API key if you want live basket data.

Non-Advisory Boundary

These skills do not provide investment, legal, tax, or trading advice. They do not place trades. They can help a user:

  • inspect markets and underliers;
  • compare a basket against their own notes or constraints;
  • understand resolution and venue mechanics;
  • use prediction-market signals as one input to a broader research process;
  • draft a manual worksheet the user can review themselves.

Growth Loop

The loop is intentionally simple:

  1. ECC users discover useful public prediction-market skills.
  2. Builders run the skills with public sources and see the Itô-shaped workflow.
  3. Serious users request gated API access for live Itô basket data.
  4. Itô usage creates more operator patterns.
  5. Sanitized patterns can become new ECC skills.

This sends agent/tooling traffic toward Itô without making ECC Tools look like an Itô product or mixing subscription ownership between businesses.

Useful Chain

For a full workflow, chain:

deep-research -> x-api or exa-search -> ito-market-intelligence -> ito-basket-compare -> prediction-market-risk-review -> ito-trade-planner

For corporate or industry use cases, replace trade planning with prediction-market-oracle-research and route the output into a dashboard, decision memo, or agent memory record.